Professor Sam Crane offers these thoughts on the Super Bowl.

I have been contemplating the contest, between the Indianapolis Colts and the Chicago Bears (as did several of the young men in my recent Winter Study course) from the perspective of Sun Tzu, and I can now say, with some confidence, that the Bears will win.

At this point, the Colts are favored to win by seven points; so, my Sun Tzu analysis is running against the conventional wisdom.

My unconventional conclusion is drawn from one of Sun Tzu’s key ideas: attack weaknesses, avoid strengths. When we consider the strengths and weaknesses of each side we notice that the Colts’ strength, their offense, is matched by the Bears’ strength, their defense. Thus, the best strategy for each side is not to expect the winning strike to come from that particular area. The Colts offense will move the ball and score points; but the Bears’ defense will come up with some big stops. We have to assume that the Colts will score somewhere in the neighborhood of 28 points. The Bears will not stop them completely, though they might limit them at key moments. For all of its potency, however, the Colts offense will not be the key to the game.

The crucial factors will be the weaknesses of each side: the Bears’ offense and the Colts defense. The team that holds the edge here, that is able to exploit the opponent’s weakness, will have the advantage.

Which means that the Bears are sure to win since an Eph, Mike Bajakian ’95, is their offensive quality control coach. (By the way, is offensive quality control coach second-in-command to the offensive coordinator, or is it a more junior position?)

See also Super Bowl memories from Ethan Zuckerman ’93.

In any event, Go Bears! And head football coaches around the country should be sure to look to Bajakian when filling offensive coordinator openings. After all, anyone who can coach Bear quarterback Rex Grossman to the Super Bowl must have more than a little talent . . .

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